JOR BAYESIAN FUSION // SYSTEM REFERENCE HUB

RESEARCH CORE // MODE: TIER 1 ANALYSIS // PRIOR: 0.20 [K=0.20] // AARO-REF ALIGNED

FRAMEWORK LOGIC

The JOR Framework employs a dual-stage Bayesian update model to separate the verification of physical presence from the hypothesis of origin.

SOLID OBJECT PROBABILITY (SOP)

A baseline metric confirming physical reality before NHP (Non-Human Probability) analysis can commence.

SOP = (w1 * C) + (w2 * E) + (w3 * P)

BAYESIAN UPDATE FUNCTION

Updates posteriors based on AARO-aligned standards (Prior = 0.20).

P(E|H) = min(1, 1 - NHP + (K * SOP))

CALIBRATION (K): 0.20 // Prevents over-attribution under noisy sensor conditions.